Raid Shard Drop Rates “Mercy” System

(Updated after Patch 2.30 when details were confirmed by Plarium)

Thanks originally to Manibal and some enterprising data miners, and since then confirmed by Plarium, we’ve discovered more details about Raid Shadow Legends’ “Mercy” (aka “Pity”) system for shard drop rates. In simple terms, after you pull a certain number of shards, your chance of getting higher rarity Champions from your next pull progressively improve until you hit that rarity and then resets.

Note that the increases are additive, not multiplicative multiplicative, not additive (this has been updated as of Plarium’s latest clarification on the Mercy system). Here’s exactly how it works:

Ancient Shards

1. After not pulling an Epic from 20 shards, the chance increases by 2% for each Ancient shard you pull. That means that the starting drop rate of 8% goes to 10% on your 21st pull (.08+.02) if you’ve pulled zero Epics in the first 20, 12% on the 22nd pull (.08+.02*2), and so on.
2. After not pulling a Legendary Champ from 200 shards, the chance of a Lego increases by 5% per pull. That means the 0.5% base rate goes to 5.5% on the 201st pull, 10.5% on the 202nd pull, etc. If you still haven’t gotten anything on your 220th Ancient shard pull, you would now have a 100.5% chance of a Legendary at that point… i.e. certain Legendary after 220 Ancient shards.
3. If you’re pulling during an x2 event, the x2 applies to the base drop rate only. So in the Lego case for example, if you were on your 201st pull you’d go to 6% (0.01+0.05) instead of 5.5%. On 2x you’d also need 220 Ancient shard pulls for a guaranteed Lego.

It’s pretty cool that this system is in place, as it ensures everyone eventually gets those hard-to-get Champs. Note that there is still a 36.7% chance of not landing a Legendary (at the regular drop rates) after 200 pulls (0.995^200). On the flipside, would’ve been cool to see a slightly more generous mercy system, as not everyone’s going around pulling hundreds of shards…

Void Shards

The Void shard pity system has the exact same mechanics as the Ancient Shard one above.

Sacred Shards

1. After not pulling a Legendary from 12 Sacred Shards, the chance of a Legendary increases by 2% per pull. That means the standard drop rate of 6% goes to 8% on your 13th pull, 10% on the 14th, and so on. Remember it’s additive, not multiplicative (as confirmed by Plarium).
2. Just as with Ancients and Voids, in the case of an x2 event the x2 applies on the base rate only.

Note that when pulling 12 Sacred shards (on regular drop rates) you still have a 47.6% chance of not landing a Legendary (0.94^12). With the extra 2% per pull, you’d need to get to 59 Sacred shard pulls to get to 100% chance… Of course it’s highly unlikely you’d have to wait that long.

One thing to consider is that it’ll take 210 Ancient Shards to get a >=50% chance at a Legendary, and 34 Sacred Shards for a >=50% chance. Now I’m pretty sure it’s easier to get ~7 Ancients than 1 Sacred… this reaffirms our belief (as stated in several other articles) that Ancient shards are typically a much better value than Sacreds.

Please support Manibal for this awesome data drop that originally divulged some of this information by checking out his video and subscribing to his channel.

Here are the complete drop rates for Ancient and Void shards:

And here are the complete drop rates for Sacred shards: